Bank of Utah Championship

Austin Smotherman

No.2 of 15 by win

Why the model likes him

Cold lately — losing -0.92 strokes/round to the field, which the model discounts him for.
Ranks No.2 of 15 in the model's win odds.

Finish probabilities

Win

21.7%

Top 5

74.3%

Top 10

95.0%

Top 20

100.0%

Make cut

100.0%

Avg finish

4.0

Consistency

2.80

σ strokes/rd

Skill · SG/rd

-0.42

vs field

Strokes-gained profile

PGA Tour · 2026 · per round

Off-the-Tee

Strong · #47

+0.23

Approach

Elite · #9

+0.60

Around-Green

Weak · #151

-0.46

Putting

Weak · #152

-0.51

Tour percentile shown as the bar. SG/round vs the field — positive is good (lower putts, more greens, longer/straighter, better up-and-downs).

Recent form

last 4 starts

Season SG/rd

-0.08

vs field

Recent SG/rd

-0.92

last ~10 events

Trend

▼ +0.83

cooling off

Made cut

75%

recent

Event	Date	Finish	SG/rd
Biltmore Championship Asheville	2026-09-17	T17	+2.77
Wyndham Championship	2026-08-06	T67	+0.15
Rocket Classic	2026-07-30	MC	-6.34
3M Open	2026-07-23	T24	+2.19

Rating penalizes missed cuts and discounts weak-field events, so it can sit below a player's raw round-by-round SG.

History at Black Desert Resort Golf Course

1 starts

Course SG/rd

-0.73

vs field here

Avg finish

—

at this course

Best finish

—

Year	Finish	SG/rd
2024	MC	-0.73

Available markets

2 priced · 0 +EV

Market	Odds	Model	Fair	Edge	Stake	EV
Top 5	-2000	74.3%	-289	-21.0%	—	-22.0%
Win	+110	21.7%	+360	-25.9%	—	-54.4%