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Bank of Utah Championship
Chris Kirk
No.6 of 15 by win
Why the model likes him
- In form — gaining +1.76 strokes/round on the field over his last 4 starts (T10, T72, T8, T31).
- Ranks No.6 of 15 in the model's win odds.
- Best edge — Win: model gives 3.6%, the +9000 price only needs 1.1% to break even, so +228.0% EV at that price (unproven vs the market until CLV bears it out).
Finish probabilities
Win
3.6%
Top 5
33.1%
Top 10
72.6%
Top 20
100.0%
Make cut
100.0%
Avg finish
7.7
Consistency
2.80
σ strokes/rd
Skill · SG/rd
+0.78
vs field
Strokes-gained profile
PGA Tour · 2026 · per roundOff-the-Tee
Average · #89
+0.00
Approach
Elite · #17
+0.50
Around-Green
Strong · #54
+0.12
Putting
Weak · #149
-0.47
Tour percentile shown as the bar. SG/round vs the field — positive is good (lower putts, more greens, longer/straighter, better up-and-downs).
Recent form
last 4 startsSeason SG/rd
+0.10
vs field
Recent SG/rd
+1.76
last ~10 events
Trend
▲ +1.67
heating up
Made cut
100%
recent
| Event | Date | Finish | SG/rd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Biltmore Championship Asheville | 2026-09-17 | T10 | +3.27 |
| Wyndham Championship | 2026-08-06 | T72 | -0.10 |
| Rocket Classic | 2026-07-30 | T8 | +2.66 |
| 3M Open | 2026-07-23 | T31 | +1.94 |
Rating penalizes missed cuts and discounts weak-field events, so it can sit below a player's raw round-by-round SG.
History at Black Desert Resort Golf Course
1 startsCourse SG/rd
+1.61
vs field here
Avg finish
35.0
at this course
Best finish
T35
| Year | Finish | SG/rd |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | T35 | +1.61 |
Available markets
2 priced · 2 +EV| Market | Odds | Model | Fair | Edge | Stake | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win | +9000 | 3.6% | +2675 | +2.5% | 0.6u | +228.0%edge |
| Top 5 | +450 | 33.1% | +202 | +14.9% | 4.6u | +82.0%edge |