Bank of Utah Championship

Johnny Keefer

No.5 of 15 by win

Why the model likes him

Ranks No.5 of 15 in the model's win odds.
Best edge — Win: model gives 4.0%, the +3300 price only needs 2.9% to break even, so +36.3% EV at that price (unproven vs the market until CLV bears it out).

Finish probabilities

Win

4.0%

Top 5

35.2%

Top 10

74.4%

Top 20

100.0%

Make cut

100.0%

Avg finish

7.5

Consistency

2.80

σ strokes/rd

Skill · SG/rd

+0.17

vs field

Strokes-gained profile

PGA Tour · 2026 · per round

Off-the-Tee

Elite · #15

+0.53

Approach

Strong · #28

+0.38

Around-Green

Weak · #149

-0.34

Putting

Below avg · #119

-0.25

Tour percentile shown as the bar. SG/round vs the field — positive is good (lower putts, more greens, longer/straighter, better up-and-downs).

Recent form

last 5 starts

Season SG/rd

+0.38

vs field

Recent SG/rd

-0.13

last ~10 events

Trend

▼ +0.51

cooling off

Made cut

60%

recent

Event	Date	Finish	SG/rd
Biltmore Championship Asheville	2026-09-17	T7	+3.52
Wyndham Championship	2026-08-06	MC	-0.10
Rocket Classic	2026-07-30	T60	+0.41
3M Open	2026-07-23	MC	-1.06
The Open	2026-07-16	T59	+0.27

Rating penalizes missed cuts and discounts weak-field events, so it can sit below a player's raw round-by-round SG.

Available markets

2 priced · 2 +EV

Market	Odds	Model	Fair	Edge	Stake	EV
Win	+3300	4.0%	+2394	+1.1%	0.3u	+36.3%edge
Top 5	+200	35.2%	+184	+1.8%	0.7u	+5.5%edge