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Bank of Utah Championship
Neal Shipley
No.8 of 15 by win
Why the model likes him
- In form — gaining +1.41 strokes/round on the field over his last 4 starts (T3, T67, T50, T44).
- Ranks No.8 of 15 in the model's win odds.
- Best edge — Win: model gives 2.8%, the +9000 price only needs 1.1% to break even, so +155.4% EV at that price (unproven vs the market until CLV bears it out).
Finish probabilities
Win
2.8%
Top 5
28.9%
Top 10
68.8%
Top 20
100.0%
Make cut
100.0%
Avg finish
8.2
Consistency
2.80
σ strokes/rd
Skill · SG/rd
+0.50
vs field
Strokes-gained profile
PGA Tour · 2026 · per roundOff-the-Tee
Elite · #1
+0.78
Approach
Weak · #127
-0.23
Around-Green
Weak · #150
-0.40
Putting
Weak · #141
-0.37
Tour percentile shown as the bar. SG/round vs the field — positive is good (lower putts, more greens, longer/straighter, better up-and-downs).
Recent form
last 4 startsSeason SG/rd
-0.14
vs field
Recent SG/rd
+1.41
last ~10 events
Trend
▲ +1.54
heating up
Made cut
100%
recent
| Event | Date | Finish | SG/rd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Biltmore Championship Asheville | 2026-09-17 | T3 | +4.27 |
| Wyndham Championship | 2026-08-06 | T67 | +0.15 |
| Rocket Classic | 2026-07-30 | T50 | +0.66 |
| 3M Open | 2026-07-23 | T44 | +1.19 |
Rating penalizes missed cuts and discounts weak-field events, so it can sit below a player's raw round-by-round SG.
Available markets
2 priced · 2 +EV| Market | Odds | Model | Fair | Edge | Stake | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win | +9000 | 2.8% | +3464 | +1.7% | 0.4u | +155.4%edge |
| Top 5 | +400 | 28.9% | +246 | +8.9% | 2.8u | +44.7%edge |