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Bank of Utah Championship
Rico Hoey
No.10 of 15 by win
Why the model likes him
- In form — gaining +1.41 strokes/round on the field over his last 5 starts (T39, T25, T15, T62).
- Ranks No.10 of 15 in the model's win odds.
- Strong history — gaining +3.04 strokes/round at this course — only 2 starts, small sample, best T2.
- Best edge — Win: model gives 2.0%, the +25000 price only needs 0.4% to break even, so +407.8% EV at that price (unproven vs the market until CLV bears it out).
Finish probabilities
Win
2.0%
Top 5
23.5%
Top 10
62.7%
Top 20
100.0%
Make cut
100.0%
Avg finish
8.8
Consistency
2.80
σ strokes/rd
Skill · SG/rd
+0.95
vs field
Strokes-gained profile
PGA Tour · 2026 · per roundOff-the-Tee
Elite · #18
+0.41
Approach
Average · #80
+0.07
Around-Green
Below avg · #123
-0.14
Putting
Weak · #133
-0.32
Tour percentile shown as the bar. SG/round vs the field — positive is good (lower putts, more greens, longer/straighter, better up-and-downs).
Recent form
last 5 startsSeason SG/rd
+0.00
vs field
Recent SG/rd
+1.41
last ~10 events
Trend
▲ +1.41
heating up
Made cut
100%
recent
| Event | Date | Finish | SG/rd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Biltmore Championship Asheville | 2026-09-17 | T39 | +1.77 |
| Wyndham Championship | 2026-08-06 | T25 | +1.65 |
| Rocket Classic | 2026-07-30 | T15 | +2.41 |
| 3M Open | 2026-07-23 | T62 | -0.31 |
| Corales Puntacana Championship | 2026-07-16 | T67 | +0.42 |
Rating penalizes missed cuts and discounts weak-field events, so it can sit below a player's raw round-by-round SG.
History at Black Desert Resort Golf Course
2 startsStrong history
Course SG/rd
+3.04
vs field here
Avg finish
11.5
at this course
Best finish
T2
| Year | Finish | SG/rd |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | T2 | +3.97 |
| 2024 | T21 | +2.11 |
Available markets
2 priced · 2 +EV| Market | Odds | Model | Fair | Edge | Stake | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win | +25000 | 2.0% | +4843 | +1.6% | 0.4u | +407.8%edge |
| Top 5 | +750 | 23.5% | +326 | +11.7% | 3.3u | +99.4%edge |